Moallemi, E. A., de Haan, F., Kwakkel, J., & Aye, L. (2017). Narrative-informed exploratory analysis of energy transition pathways: A case study of India’s electricity sector. Energy Policy, 110, 271–287. doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2017.08.019 Abstract: Energy transitions unfold under the influence of socio-technical, political and economic uncertainties. This paper introduces a narrative-informed…
Adopting robust decision-making to forest management under climate change (2017)
Radke, N., Yousefpour, R., von Detten, R., Reifenberg, S., Hanewinkel, M.: Adopting robust decision-making to forest management under climate change. Ann Forest Sci, 2017; 74 (43): . : http://doi:10.1077/s13595-017-0641-s Key message Multi-objective robust decision making is a promising decision-making method in forest management under climate change as it adequately considers…
Finding pathways to national-scale land-sector sustainability (2017)
Gao, L., Bryan, B.A., 2017. Finding pathways to national-scale land-sector sustainability. Nature 544(7649) 217–222. https://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v544/n7649/abs/nature21694.html Abstract The 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and 169 targets under Agenda 2030 of the United Nations map a coherent global sustainability ambition at a level of detail general enough to garner consensus amongst nations. However,…
Simulated Climate Adaptation in Stormwater Systems: Evaluating the Efficiency of Adaptation Strategies (2017)
McCurdy, A. and W. Travis (2017) Simulated climate adaptation in stormwater systems: evaluating the efficiency of adaptation strategies. Environment Systems and Decisions. Published online: http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10669-017-9631-z Adaptations in infrastructure may be necessitated by changes in temperature and precipitation patterns to avoid losses and maintain expected levels of service. A roster of…
Robustness-Optimality Tradeoff for Watershed Load Reduction Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty (2017)
Su H, Dong F, Liu Y, Zou R, and Guo H. 2017. Robustness-Optimality Tradeoff for Watershed Load Reduction Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty. Water Resour Manag:1-14. http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11269-017-1689-3 Abstract Practical and optimal reduction of watershed loads under deep uncertainty requires sufficient search alternatives and direct evaluation of robustness. These requirements contribute…
Direct policy search for robust multi-objective management of deeply uncertain socio-ecological tipping points (2017)
Quinn, J. D., P. M. Reed and K. Keller (2017). “Direct policy search for robust multi-objective management of deeply uncertain socio-ecological tipping points.” Environmental Modelling & Software 92, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2017.02.017: 125-141. URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1364815216302250 Managing socio-ecological systems is a challenge wrought by competing societal objectives, deep uncertainties, and potentially irreversible tipping points….
Uncertainty Assessement in Ecosystem Services: Seven Challenges and Practical Responses (2017)
Hamel, P. and BP Bryant (2017). Uncertainty assessment in ecosystem services analyses: Common challenges and practical responses. Ecosystem Services 24, 1-15. doi:10.1016/j.ecoser.2016.12.008 Abstract: Ecosystem services (ES) analyses are increasingly used to address societal challenges, but too often are not accompanied by uncertainty assessment. This omission limits the validity of their findings and…
Environmental Realism: Challenging Solutions (2017)
Cockerill, K., M. Armstrong, J. Richter, J. Okie. 2017. Environmental Realism: Challenging Solutions. Palgrave MacMillan 145p. ISBN 978-3-319-52824-3. http://www.springer.com/us/book/9783319528236 Abstract from Chapter 1: Why Challenge Solutions? Labeling a problem ‘environmental’ creates a pervasive belief that science and technology can, should, and will generate solutions for issues ranging from pandemic disease to…
Testing the Scenario Hypothesis (2017)
Gong, Min , Robert Lempert, Andrew M Parker, Lauren A. Mayer, Jordan Fischbach, Matthew Sisco, Zhamin Mao, David H. Krantz, and Howard Kunreuther. “Testing the Scenario Hypothesis: An Experimental Comparison of Scenarios and Forecasts for Decision Support in a Complex Decision Environment.” Environmental Modeling and Software 91 (2017): 135-55. http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1364815216305060…
Why pay attention to paths in the practice of environmental modelling? (2017)
Lahtinen, T. J., J. H. A. Guillaume, and R. P. Hämäläinen (2017), Why pay attention to paths in the practice of environmental modelling?, Environmental Modelling and Software, 92, 74–81, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2017.02.019 Taking the ‘path perspective’ helps to understand and improve the practice of environmental modelling and decision making. A path is…