Eker S, van Daalen E, & Thissen W (2017). Incorporating stakeholder perspectives into model-based scenarios: Exploring the futures of the Dutch gas sector. Futures 93: 27-43. DOI:10.1016/j.futures.2017.08.002. Several model-based, analytical approaches have been developed recently to deal with the deep uncertainty present in situations for which futures studies are conducted. These approaches focus on…
Computational design optimization of concrete mixtures: A review (2018)
Citation: DeRousseau, M, J Kasprzyk, W Srubar III “Computational design optimization of concrete mixtures: A review” Cement and Concrete Research 109: 42-53. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cemconres.2018.04.007 Abstract: A comprehensive review of optimization research concerning the design and proportioning of concrete mixtures is presented herein. Mixture design optimization is motivated by an ever-increasing need for designers and decision-makers to…
Diagnostic Assessment of Preference Constraints for Simulation Optimization in Water Resources (2018)
Citation: Clarkin, T, W Raseman, J Kasprzyk, J Herman. “Diagnostic Assessment of Preference Constraints for Simulation Optimization in Water Resources” Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, 144(8): 04018036. Abstract: Simulation-optimization frameworks, such as multiobjective evolutionary algorithms (MOEAs), are increasingly used for real-world water resources problems. Constraints in MOEA optimization commonly…
Examining values and influences affecting public expectations of future urban mobility: A Singapore case study
Kurniawan, J. H., Ong, C., & Cheah, L. (2018). Examining values and influences affecting public expectations of future urban mobility: A Singapore case study. Transport Policy. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tranpol.2017.12.014 This paper presents a qualitative study of two focus group discussions on Singapore’s state of current and future urban mobility. The findings of this study,…
Strategic adaptation pathway planning to manage sea-level rise and changing coastal flood risk (2018)
Ramm, TD, Watson, CS & White, CJ 2018, ‘Strategic adaptation pathway planning to manage sea-level rise and changing coastal flood risk’, Environmental Science & Policy, vol. 87, pp. 92-101. Communities around the world are already committed to future sea-level rise. Long-term adaptation planning to manage associated coastal flood impacts is,…
Real‐options water supply planning: Multistage scenario trees for adaptive and flexible capacity expansion under probabilistic climate change uncertainty (2018)
Erfani T., K. Pachos, and J. Harou. (2018), Real‐options water supply planning: Multistage scenario trees for adaptive and flexible capacity expansion under probabilistic climate change uncertainty, Water Resour. Res.. https://doi.org/10.1029/2017WR021803 Planning water supply infrastructure includes identifying interventions that cost‐effectively secure an acceptably reliable water supply. Climate change is a source…
Risk, robustness and water resources management under uncertainty
Borgomeo, E. , Mortazavi‐Naeini, M. , Hall, J. W. and Guillod, B. P. (2018), Risk, Robustness and Water Resources Planning Under Uncertainty. Earth’s Future. . doi:10.1002/2017EF000730 Risk‐based water resources planning is based on the premise that water managers should invest up to the point where the marginal benefit of risk…
Large Ensemble Analytic Framework for Consequence Driven Discovery of Climate Change Scenarios (2018)
Lamontagne, J., Reed, P. M., Link, R., Calvin, K., Clarke, L., and Edmonds, J., “Large Ensemble Analytic Framework for Consequence Driven Discovery of Climate Change Scenarios.”, Earth’s Future, DOI: 10.1002/2017EF000701, (2018). http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2017EF000701/full An analytic scenario generation framework is developed based on the idea that the same climate outcome can result…
Scenario techniques for energy and environmental research: An overview of recent developments to broaden the capacity to deal with complexity and uncertainty (2017)
Guivarch C., Lempert R., Trutnevyte E. Scenario techniques for Energy and Environmental Research: an overview of recent developments to broaden the capacity to deal with complexity and uncertainty. Editorial of the Thematic Issue. Environmental Modelling & Software 2017, 97, 201-210. Available at: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1364815217303936 Scenario techniques are a teeming field in energy…
A participatory exploratory modelling approach for long-term planning in energy transitions (2018)
Moallemi, E. A., & Malekpour, S. (2018). A participatory exploratory modelling approach for long-term planning in energy transitions. Energy Research and Social Science, 35(February 2017), 205–216. http://doi.org/10.1016/j.erss.2017.10.022 https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S221462961730350X Energy transitions are complex transformation processes, which involve different actors and unfold in a deeply uncertain future. These features make the long-term…