Lahtinen, T. J., J. H. A. Guillaume, and R. P. Hämäläinen (2017), Why pay attention to paths in the practice of environmental modelling?, Environmental Modelling and Software, 92, 74–81, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2017.02.019 Taking the ‘path perspective’ helps to understand and improve the practice of environmental modelling and decision making. A path is…
Understanding the failure to understand New Product Development failures: Mitigating the uncertainty associated with innovating new products by combining scenario planning and forecasting (2017)
Derbyshire, J. and Giovannetti, E. (2017) Understanding the failure to understand New Product Development failures: Mitigating the uncertainty associated with innovating new products by combining scenario planning and forecasting, Technological Forecasting & Social Change: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0040162516302980 In this paper we show that New Product Development (NPD) is subject to fundamental uncertainty…
Dealing with deep uncertainties in landslide modelling for disaster risk reduction under climate change (2017)
Almeida, S., Holcombe, E. A., Pianosi, F. and Wagener, T. (2017). Dealing with deep uncertainties in landslide modelling for disaster risk reduction under climate change, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 17, 225-241, doi:10.5194/nhess-17-225-2017. http://www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/17/225/2017/ Landslides have large negative economic and societal impacts, including loss of life and damage to infrastructure….
Development and appraisal of long-term adaptation pathways for managing heat-risk in London (2017)
Kingsborough, Jenkins & Hall, Development and appraisal of long-term adaptation pathways for managing heat-risk in London, Climate Risk Management, 2017, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2017.01.001 The risk of residential overheating and mortality is increasing due to the effects of global warming and the urban heat island effect and needs to be addressed through climate…
Preparing for disruptions: A diagnostic strategic planning intervention for sustainable development (2017)
Malekpour, S., Brown, R. R., de Haan, F. J., & Wong, T. H. F. (2017). Preparing for disruptions: A diagnostic strategic planning intervention for sustainable development. Cities, 63, 58–69. http://doi.org/10.1016/j.cities.2016.12.016 http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0264275116301299 Despite the emphasis on sustainable development in some of the contemporary planning and policy rhetoric, we face an implementation…
Designing monitoring arrangements for collaborative learning about adaptation pathways (2017)
Hermans, Leon M., Marjolijn Haasnoot, Judith ter Maat, Jan H. Kwakkel. (2017). Designing monitoring arrangements for collaborative learning about adaptation pathways. Environmental Science & Policy 69: 29-38. DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2016.12.005 . https://authors.elsevier.com/a/1UFzx5Ce0rOGPN Adaptation pathways approaches support long-term planning under uncertainty. The use of adaptation pathways implies a systematic monitoring effort to…
What it took to catalyse uptake of dynamic adaptive pathways planning to address climate change uncertainty (2016)
Lawrence, J., M. Haasnoot (2016) What it took to catalyse uptake of dynamic adaptive pathways planning to address climate change uncertainty, Environmental Science & Policy, Volume 68, February 2017, Pages 47-57, ISSN 1462-9011, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2016.12.003. Abstract Implementing climate-resilient pathways in conditions of uncertainty and change is a serious challenge. Approaches have…
Barriers and opportunities for robust decision making approaches to support climate change adaptation in the developing world (2016)
Bhave, A. G., Conway, D., Dessai, S., & Stainforth, D. A. (2016). Barriers and opportunities for robust decision making approaches to support climate change adaptation in the developing world. Climate Risk Management, 14, 1-10. URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212096316300626 Climate change adaptation is unavoidable, particularly in developing countries where the adaptation deficit is often…
A critical review of decision support systems for water treatment: Making the case for incorporating climate change and climate extremes (2016)
Raseman, WJ; Kasprzyk, JR; Rosario-Ortiz, FL; Stewart, JR; Livneh, B “A critical review of decision support systems for water treatment: Making the case for incorporating climate change and climate extremes” Environmental Science: Water Research and Technology, In Press. doi:/10.1039/C6EW00121A Abstract: Water treatment plants (WTPs) are tasked with providing safe potable water…
Cooperative drought adaptation: Integrating infrastructure development, conservation, and water transfers into adaptive policy pathways (2016)
Zeff, H.B., Herman, J., Reed, P.M., and Characklis, G., “Cooperative drought adaptation: Integrating infrastructure development, conservation, and water transfers into adaptive policy pathways.”, Water Resources Research, DOI: 10.1002/2016WR018771. http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016WR018771/abstract A considerable fraction of urban water supply capacity serves primarily as a hedge against drought. Water utilities can reduce their dependence…