Bridging Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty (DMDU) and Transition Management (TM) to improve strategic planning for sustainable development (2020)

Shirin Malekpour, Warren E. Walker, Fjalar J. de Haan, Niki Frantzeskaki, Vincent A.W.J. Marchau, Bridging Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty (DMDU) and Transition Management (TM) to improve strategic planning for sustainable development, Environmental Science & Policy, Volume 107, 2020https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2020.03.002 Abstract: Sustainable development is a long-term endeavour involving deep uncertainty and…

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Water rights shape crop yield and revenue volatility tradeoffs for adaptation in snow dependent systems (2020)

Malek, K., Reed, P., Adam, J. et al. Water rights shape crop yield and revenue volatility tradeoffs for adaptation in snow dependent systems. Nat Commun 11, 3473 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-17219-z Abstract:Irrigated agriculture in snow-dependent regions contributes significantly to global food production. This study quantifies the impacts of climate change on irrigated agriculture in the snow-dependent Yakima…

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Long term investments in critical infrastructure under environmental turbulence; Dilemmas of infrastructure responsiveness (2020)

Vincent de Gooyert, Long term investments in critical infrastructure under environmental turbulence; Dilemmas of infrastructure responsiveness,Sustainable Futures, Volume 2, 2020https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sftr.2020.100028Abstract: Organizations operate in a turbulent environment which implies that the potential of long-term strategies is highly uncertain. Especially critical infrastructure providers face this issue as they typically invest with a…

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Climate change induced socio-economic tipping points: review and stakeholder consultation for policy relevant research (2020)

Kees C H van Ginkel et al 2020 Environ. Res. Lett. 15 023001https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab6395 Abstract:Tipping points have become a key concept in research on climate change, indicating points of abrupt transition in biophysical systems as well as transformative changes in adaptation and mitigation strategies. However, the potential existence of tipping points in socio-economic systems has remained…

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Defining the solution space to accelerate climate change adaptation (2020)

Haasnoot, M., Biesbroek, R., Lawrence, J. et al. Defining the solution space to accelerate climate change adaptation. Reg Environ Change 20, 37 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-020-01623-8 Abstract:Decision makers need better insights about solutions to accelerate adaptation efforts. Defining the concept of solution space and revealing the forces and strategies that influence this space will enable decision makers…

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Governing long-term policy problems: Dilemmas and strategies at a Dutch water authority (2020)

Wieke D. Pot, Art Dewulf & Catrien J.A.M. Termeer (2020) Governing long-term policy problems: Dilemmas and strategies at a Dutch water authority, Public Management ReviewDOI: 10.1080/14719037.2020.1817531 Abstract:Despite the increasing need to address long-term challenges, public sector organizations are incentivized to focus on short-term results. This article uses an ethnographic approach to analyse how members…

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Impact of scenario selection on robustness (2020)

McPhail, C., Maier, H. R., Westra, S., Kwakkel, J. H., & van der Linden, L. (2020). Impact of scenario selection on robustness. Water Resources Research, 56, e2019WR026515. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019WR026515 Abstract: Multiple plausible future scenarios are being used increasingly in preference to a single deterministic or probabilistic prediction of the future in the long‐term planning of water resources systems. These scenarios…

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Multiple perspectives of resilience: A holistic approach to resilience assessment using cognitive maps in practitioner engagement (2020)

Alina Tepes, Marc B. Neumann, Multiple perspectives of resilience: A holistic approach to resilience assessment using cognitive maps in practitioner engagement, Water Research, Volume 178, 2020https://doi.org/10.1016/j.watres.2020.115780 Abstract: Resilience has become a regulatory concept influencing investment decisions in the water and wastewater sector. However, current assessments predominantly focus on technical resilience…

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Spatial Bias in Medium-Range Forecasts of Heavy Precipitation in the Sacramento River Basin: Implications for Water Management (2020)

Brodeur, Z. P., and S. Steinschneider, 2020: Spatial Bias in Medium-Range Forecasts of Heavy Precipitation in the Sacramento River Basin: Implications for Water Management. J. Hydrometeor., 21, 1405–1423, https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-19-0226.1. Abstract:Forecasts of heavy precipitation delivered by atmospheric rivers (ARs) are becoming increasingly important for both flood control and water supply management in reservoirs across…

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An open source model for quantifying risks in bulk electric power systems from spatially and temporally correlated hydrometeorological processes (2020)

Yufei Su, Jordan D. Kern, Simona Denaro, Joy Hill, Patrick Reed, Yina Sun, Jon Cohen, Gregory W. Characklis,An open source model for quantifying risks in bulk electric power systems from spatially and temporally correlated hydrometeorological processes,Environmental Modelling & Software, Volume 126, 2020, 104667,https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2020.104667 Abstract:Variability (and extremes) in streamflow, wind speeds,…

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