Date: Nov 25th, 2024, 11 am – 2 pm ET
Registration: https://bit.ly/dmdu-health-24
This online symposium will bring together researchers and practitioners to explore advances in decision-making under deep uncertainty in Health Policy. Speakers will cover the foundations of the DMDU field and showcase applications covering multiple approaches and substantive areas, ranging from early health technology assessment to infectious disease surveillance and emergency response planning.
This online symposium is hosted by the DMDU in Health Special Interest Group (SIG), a member group of the Society for Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty, a multi-disciplinary association of professionals dedicated to improving decision-making under deep uncertainty.
Program
Welcome and Agenda
Pedro Nascimento de Lima, Associate Engineer, RAND Corporation
Part 1: DMDU Foundations
Making Good Decisions Without Predictions
Lessons learned from confronting deep uncertainty
Robert Lempert, Principal Physical Scientist, RAND Corporation
Part 1 Q&A
Part 2: Addressing Parametric and Structural Uncertainty
Demonstrating Robustness in Health Policy Choices[paper 1, paper 2, paper 3]
Pedro Nascimento de Lima, Associate Engineer, RAND Corporation
Dealing with uncertainty in early health technology assessment [paper]
Mirre Scholte, Assistant Professor, Radboud University Medical Centre
Propagating Ambiguity into Decision Analyses of Test-and-Treat Strategies
Shaun Forbes, Affiliate, Center for Evidence Synthesis in Health, Brown University
Detection of Novel Influenza Viruses Through Community and Healthcare Testing Implications for Surveillance Efforts in the United States[paper]
Sinead Morris, Consultant for the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Goldbelt Professional Services
Part 2 Q&A, Moderator: Tom Trikalinos, Brown University
Break
Part 3: Addressing Inequity in Health Outcomes
Uncertainties in vulnerable populations: modeling for decision support to improve the health outcomes of people who use drugs[paper 1, paper 2]
Eric Tatara, Senior Engineer, Argonne National Laboratory
Addressing Uncertainty and Equity Tradeoffs in Vaccine Allocation Policy [paper 1, paper 2]
Laura Matrajt, Staff Scientist, Vaccine and Infectious Disease Division, Fred Hutch
Part 3 Q&A, moderator: Anna Hotton, University of Chicago
Part 4: Uncertainty-proof Leadership, Institutions, and Processes
Improving Decision-making Under the Deep Uncertainty of Novel Infectious Disease Emergencies[paper 1, paper 2, paper 3, monograph]
Crystal Watson, DrPH, MPH, Deputy Director, Center for Outbreak Response Innovation (CORI); Senior Scholar and Associate Professor, Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security
California’s Department of Public Health Decision Intelligence Unit
Tomás Aragón
State Public Health Officer and Director, California Department of Public Health
Assistant Adjunct Professor of Epidemiology, UC Berkley
Part 4 Q&A, moderator: Robert Lempert, RAND Corporation
Synthesis & Farewell
Pedro Nascimento de Lima, Associate Engineer, RAND Corporation