Proposing DAPP-MR as a disaster risk management pathways framework for complex, dynamic multi-risk (2022)

Schlumberger, J., Haasnoot, M., de Ruiter, M., and Aerts, J.: Proposing DAPP-MR as a disaster risk management pathways framework for complex, dynamic multi-risk. iScience Volume 25, Issue 10,
2022, 105219, ISSN 2589-0042, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.isci.2022.105219. Climate change impacts are increasingly complex owing to compounding, interacting, and cascading risks across sectors. However,  approaches to support Disaster Risk Management (DRM) addressing the underlying (uncertain) risk driver interactions are still lacking. We tailor the approach of Dynamic Adaptive Policy Pathways (DAPP)  to DAPP-MR to design DRM pathways for complex, dynamic multi-risk in multi-sector systems. We review the recent multi-hazard and multi-sector research to identify relevant aspects of multi-risk  management frameworks and illustrate the suitability of DAPP-MR using a stylized case. It is found that  rearranging the analytical steps of DAPP by introducing three iteration stages can help to capture  interactions, trade-offs, and synergies across hazards and sectors. We show that DAPP-MR may guide  multi-sector processes to stepwise integrate knowledge toward multi-risk management. DAPP-MR can be seen as an analytical basis and first step toward an operational, integrative, and interactive framework  for short-to long-term multi-risk DRM.